Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63.5%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 36.5% on 15 Mar 2026 and the low 33.5% on 4 Mar 2026.
105 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 10:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 3 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 34.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 10.11K |
| jizzbucket57 | Yes | 8K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.03K |
| nikola17 | Yes | 1.16K |
| aestcon | Yes | 1K |
| XblackSweX | Yes | 1K |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 965.12 |
| Adept-Oleo | Yes | 689.19 |
| Stark22 | Yes | 400 |
| 424242 | Yes | 297.84 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 15, 2026 between VfB Stuttgart and RB Leipzig.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-stu-lei-2026-03-15
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