Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 58.5%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 23 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 41.5% on 1 Apr 2026 and the low 38% on 27 Mar 2026. $127.13K traded over the market's life.
113 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 5, 10:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 23 Mar 2026 – 4 Apr 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2026 | 38.5% |
| 4 Apr 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | Yes | 4.27K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.42K |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 1.58K |
| qk7 | Yes | 1.19K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 954.71 |
| summer06 | Yes | 950 |
| Starchy-Stimulation | Yes | 909.66 |
| Kretsche | Yes | 853.66 |
| sabaton2 | Yes | 450 |
| TungTungTungSAHUR | Yes | 421.78 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 4, 2026 between VfB Stuttgart and BV Borussia 09 Dortmund.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-stu-dor-2026-04-04
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