Analytics
Resolved No on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 4 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 34.5% on 6 May 2026 and the low 25.5% on 12 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 26% on 10 May 2026. $60.89K traded over the market's life.
77 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 6:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 4 May 2026 – 16 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 May 2026 | 29.5% |
| 16 May 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| iambetking | Yes | 5K |
| AriBarreto | Yes | 1.97K |
| tradingl | Yes | 1.85K |
| Chapulin | Yes | 1.12K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 556.78 |
| adosports | Yes | 493.37 |
| Robvh1 | Yes | 370.37 |
| RN1 | Yes | 363.73 |
| 878 | Yes | 260 |
| Scary-Coat | Yes | 218.96 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, May 16, 2026 between FC St. Pauli 1910 and VfL Wolfsburg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-pau-wol-2026-05-16
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