
Resolved Yes on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 34.5%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 34.5% on 11 Mar 2026 and the low 27.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 34.5% on 11 Mar 2026.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 8:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 10 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 27.5% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 34.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | No | 5.43K |
| er7udfijk549r0weuifds | No | 3K |
| Avarice31 | No | 1.36K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.18K |
| DT9 | No | 500.79 |
| wocaop | No | 298.51 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 214 |
| alreadydeadhorse | No | 132 |
| pikup | No | 111 |
| torta.tech | No | 110 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between FC St. Pauli 1910 and SC Freiburg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-pau-fre-2026-03-22
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