Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63.5%. Yes opened at 33% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 37.5% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 33% on 25 Feb 2026.
229 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 7:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 33.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| c4c4 | Yes | 72.47K |
| Cannae | Yes | 51.71K |
| petyas231 | Yes | 35.57K |
| rox119 | Yes | 15.07K |
| sinestia | Yes | 5K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 4.2K |
| Favorable-Foreigner | Yes | 3.15K |
| TargetKTH | Yes | 2.14K |
| er7udfijk549r0weuifds | Yes | 1.4K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.38K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 8, 2026 between FC St. Pauli 1910 and Eintracht Frankfurt.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-pau-ein-2026-03-08
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