Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 51%. Yes opened at 50% on 23 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2026 to 27 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026 and the lowest 41% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026. $974.74 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 5, 3:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 23 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shanee | Yes | 462.05 |
| qniges | Yes | 193.76 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 70.09 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 49.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846, scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 match originally scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-moe-hei-2026-04-04-exact-score
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 11.16 |
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