Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54.5%. Yes opened at 41% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2026 to 7 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 7 Mar 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 27 Feb 2026.
305 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 7:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 41.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elizabeth.ethcome | Yes | 20K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 19.6K |
| SEVEN1985 | Yes | 16.33K |
| qwsmejswuejrrt118 | Yes | 15.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 7, 2026 between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-mai-stu-2026-03-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| kkpay19888 | Yes | 11.04K |
| jk220 | Yes | 10.2K |
| BBQChickenisthebesttt | Yes | 10K |
| Cannae | Yes | 9.4K |
| tsanyin | Yes | 6.54K |
| mizeao | Yes | 6.12K |
