
Resolved No on 18 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 67%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 6 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 34% on 17 Oct 2025 and the low 32.5% on 6 Oct 2025. $211.19K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 20, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 6 Oct 2025 – 18 Oct 2025, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2025 | 32.5% |
| 18 Oct 2025 | 33.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FavoritesOnly | Yes | 43.06K |
| Letmewin | Yes | 29.47K |
| runner777 | Yes | 3.17K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.94K |
| rated | Yes | 1.2K |
| Millmountdsdsdcsvsfvsfvain | Yes | 1.2K |
| nzone | Yes | 452.82 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 246.61 |
| riccopong | Yes | 203 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 200.18 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming BUN game, scheduled for October 18 at 9:30AM ET between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-mai-b04-2025-10-18
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