Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 19.5%. Yes opened at 19% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 19.5% on 15 Feb 2026 and the low 18% on 5 Feb 2026. $186.83K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 3 Feb 2026 – 15 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 12%–24%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 19.0% |
| 15 Feb 2026 | 19.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | No | 11.71K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.77K |
| kappekp | No | 2.81K |
| Avarice31 | No | 1.65K |
| Cannae | No | 1K |
| Irresponsible-Autumn | No | 941.3 |
| Royal Kestrel 1EAE | Yes | 417.21 |
| MartyMcFox | No | 347.77 |
| aki-11 | No | 125 |
| CorellianCoder | No | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 15, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-lei-wol-2026-02-15
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