
Resolved No on 25 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 18 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2026 to 25 Apr 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 12.5% on 24 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 0.1% on 25 Apr 2026. $267.22K traded over the market's life.
88 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 25 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 10.5% |
| 25 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Atlas 03EC | Yes | 4.85K |
| Humiliating-Cornet | Yes | 4.59K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 4.56K |
| Cannae | Yes | 2.57K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, April 24, 2026 between RB Leipzig and 1. FC Union Berlin.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-lei-uni-2026-04-24
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