Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2026 to 20 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45% on 8 Mar 2026 and the lowest 26% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 27% on 9 Mar 2026.
93 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 21, 11:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 20 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 45.0% |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 3.38K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.91K |
| mylastbet | Yes | 2.07K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 2.05K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, March 20, 2026 between RB Leipzig and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-lei-hof-2026-03-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Blackzoro | Yes | 2K |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 1.04K |
| BigCokHunter | Yes | 1K |
| lopux | Yes | 1K |
| Decent-Foundation | Yes | 640 |
| TylerWiz | Yes | 614 |
