Analytics
Yes is at 25.5%, up 2 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 12 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 24%.
Draw (1. FC Köln vs. FC Schalke 04) ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “1. FC Köln vs. FC Schalke 04”. 1. FC Köln leads at 46.5%; FC Schalke 04 is at 28.5%.
$19.23 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $47.62 since listing. The order book holds $76.47K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is ARudenko with 19 shares; the largest No position is VeryLucky888 with 38.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 8:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 12 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | 23.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 25.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VeryLucky888 | No | 38.46 |
| ARudenko | Yes | 19.23 |
| k.reglinski | Yes | 19.23 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 24, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-koe-s04-2026-10-24
| Indigo Scout 0035 |
| No |
| 6.49 |
| jmp123 | Yes | 5 |
| Cannae | Yes | 2.67 |
| dentleightadman | No | 2.67 |
| pjotrekkk | Yes | 1.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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