
Resolved No on 29 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 60.5%. Yes opened at 43% on 17 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 47% on 18 Aug 2025 and the low 39.5% on 29 Aug 2025. $25.28K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 31, 1:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 17 Aug 2025 – 29 Aug 2025 · axis zoomed to 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2025 | 43.0% |
| 29 Aug 2025 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BrandonK | Yes | 4.88K |
| tradingl | Yes | 1.22K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.03K |
| formidable2458 | Yes | 995.12 |
| buyrightbake | Yes | 601 |
| JKBL | Yes | 481.1 |
| Kretsche | Yes | 440.24 |
| CGM11 | Yes | 292.68 |
| Geo9 | Yes | 247.41 |
| St-Qc | Yes | 131.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming BUN game, scheduled for August 29 at 2:30PM ET, If Hamburger SV wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Hamburger SV loses, this market will resolve to “No”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-hsv-pau-2025-08-29
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