
Resolved No on 5 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 23 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 26.5% on 3 Oct 2025 and the low 25% on 25 Sep 2025. $2.49K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 23 Sep 2025 – 5 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 20%–32%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | 25.5% |
| 5 Oct 2025 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wizc1 | Yes | 740.74 |
| Picon | Yes | 532.77 |
| Bigtank3 | Yes | 92.59 |
| AndrianoLamo | Yes | 74.07 |
| Rixen1117 | Yes | 10.71 |
| steelydan77 | Yes | 7.14 |
| 2j289uUmAio7ap245975 | Yes | 6.79 |
| Junhyunglee | Yes | 5.26 |
| mavericx | Yes | 3.7 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming BUN game, scheduled for October 5 at 11:30AM ET between Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-hsv-mai-2025-10-05
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