
Resolved No on 10 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 60.5%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 10 May 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 2 May 2026. $632.59K traded over the market's life.
122 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 6:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 10 May 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 40.5% |
| 10 May 2026 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jdsahgf | Yes | 262.03K |
| RN1 | Yes | 156.84K |
| Misty Voyager 8545 | Yes | 7.35K |
| ImALoserBaby | Yes | 5.95K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026 between Hamburger SV and SC Freiburg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-hsv-fre-2026-05-10
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| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 1.58K |
| miniffer | Yes | 820 |
| AutomatedTrading | Yes | 600 |
| afa001 | Yes | 600 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 533.33 |
| Faciledacercare | Yes | 300 |