Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86.5%. Yes opened at 22% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 23.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the low 13.5% on 14 Mar 2026.
76 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 6:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 22.0% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 13.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 21.74K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 3.06K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 846.26 |
| Cannae | Yes | 671.37 |
| Forthright-Fav | Yes | 460 |
| onetwo4ever | Yes | 300 |
| Syd | Yes | 300 |
| evolution29 | Yes | 230.77 |
| jakckiehejian | Yes | 230.77 |
| abx124 | Yes | 208.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 14, 2026 between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and VfL Wolfsburg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-hof-wol-2026-03-14
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