Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 32.5%. Yes opened at 61.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 14 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 67.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 61.5% on 2 Mar 2026.
184 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 6:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 55%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 61.5% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 67.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shan776 | Yes | 70K |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 26.16K |
| Cannae | Yes | 25.38K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 13.19K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 14, 2026 between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and VfL Wolfsburg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-hof-wol-2026-03-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Outlying-Ticket | Yes | 11.4K |
| c4c4 | Yes | 7.47K |
| spartachio | Yes | 5.56K |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 1.75K |
| LynxTitan | Yes | 998 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 846.26 |
