Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 18.5%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 25.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the low 18.5% on 13 Mar 2026. $72.7K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 6:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 2 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 24.5% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | No | 4.11K |
| Falcon7291 | No | 3.66K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 846.26 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 553.66 |
| VasiliSko | No | 500 |
| Avarice31 | No | 283.33 |
| MartyMcFox | No | 205.72 |
| LynxTitan | No | 203.34 |
| Letunovsky | No | 200 |
| CorellianCoder | No | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 14, 2026 between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and VfL Wolfsburg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-hof-wol-2026-03-14
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