Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 33.5%. Yes opened at 61% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 66.5% on 28 Feb 2026 and the lowest 61% on 16 Feb 2026. $618.64K traded over the market's life.
254 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 16 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026, chart shows 58%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 61.0% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 66.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| somehonestwork | Yes | 61.94K |
| General-Overcharge | Yes | 38.13K |
| Cannae | Yes | 23.8K |
| c4c4 | Yes | 20.6K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, February 28, 2026 between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and FC St. Pauli 1910.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-hof-pau-2026-02-28
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| elizabeth.ethcome | Yes | 15K |
| aghiles22 | Yes | 7.85K |
| Euphoric-Algebra | Yes | 7.46K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 3.47K |
| 432614799197 | Yes | 2.96K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.63K |
