Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 43%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 23 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2026 to 27 Mar 2026, the highest close was 57.5% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 54.5% on 23 Mar 2026. $198.48K traded over the market's life.
121 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 5, 5:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 23 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026, chart shows 50%–62%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2026 | 54.5% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 57.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ddys24 | Yes | 13.45K |
| ff3354 | Yes | 11.59K |
| qinlaoban | Yes | 9.09K |
| zhangwen1688 | Yes | 7.27K |
| Cannae | Yes | 6.15K |
| ic4cream | Yes | 5.98K |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 3.88K |
| Euphoric-Algebra | Yes | 3.64K |
| justdoit2030 | Yes | 1.85K |
| Kretsche | Yes | 1.64K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 4, 2026 between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-hof-mai-2026-04-04
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