Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 59.5%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 30 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 30 Mar 2026 to 11 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 2 Apr 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 10 Apr 2026. $494.26K traded over the market's life.
104 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 12, 6:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 30 Mar 2026 – 11 Apr 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Mar 2026 | 44.5% |
| 11 Apr 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| therighteousdog | Yes | 184.92K |
| gransaaa | Yes | 48.76K |
| jellyfish44 | Yes | 8.96K |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 5.2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and 1. FC Union Berlin.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-hei-uni-2026-04-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| amused85 | Yes | 2.95K |
| sergonus | Yes | 1.5K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.09K |
| Nippy-Veneer | Yes | 783.51 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Yes | 729.94 |
| KsDf5dCs | Yes | 632.47 |
