Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 20% on 10 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 21% on 15 Feb 2026 and the low 20% on 10 Feb 2026. $175.18K traded over the market's life.
85 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 24, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026, chart shows 14%–26%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 20.0% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 4.25K |
| Cannae | Yes | 2.07K |
| wadell | Yes | 1.5K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.16K |
| Avarice31 | Yes | 1.04K |
| Dim-Wholesaler | Yes | 841.18 |
| Uncommon-Spacing | Yes | 666.67 |
| RICEASY | Yes | 476.19 |
| onetwo4ever | Yes | 400.11 |
| Euphoric-Presume | Yes | 390 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 22, 2026 If 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-hei-stu-2026-02-22
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