Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 61.5%. Yes opened at 59% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 7 Mar 2026 and the lowest 57.5% on 26 Feb 2026.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 7:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 54%–66%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 59.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | No | 7.83K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.14K |
| Avarice31 | No | 2.59K |
| knedloveprovelo | No | 1.84K |
| Cannae | No | 1.47K |
| middlemank | No | 750.21 |
| xiaohuangxiaohuang | No | 465.15 |
| er7udfijk549r0weuifds | No | 400 |
| Better-Winery | No | 355.83 |
| qazwsxedcrfvtgb | No | 240.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 7, 2026 between 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-hei-hof-2026-03-07
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