Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.5%. Yes opened at 20% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 20.5% on 25 Feb 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 27 Feb 2026.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 5:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 14%–24%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 20.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Humiliating-Cornet | Yes | 3.48K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.14K |
| Trifling-Door | Yes | 3K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 2.91K |
| ChueChue00 | Yes | 1.79K |
| Jade Voyager E603 | Yes | 1.04K |
| rox119 | Yes | 900 |
| Avarice31 | Yes | 490 |
| Reliable-Shopper | Yes | 384.11 |
| Syd | Yes | 270 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 7, 2026 If 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-hei-hof-2026-03-07
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