Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 86.5%. Yes opened at 86% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 9 Dec 2025 to 21 Dec 2025, the highest close was 86.5% on 19 Dec 2025 and the lowest 84% on 11 Dec 2025. $1.14M traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 23, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 9 Dec 2025 – 21 Dec 2025, chart shows 80%–92%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 86.0% |
| 21 Dec 2025 | 86.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xfile | No | 36.53K |
| mafi7al | No | 15K |
| Reubz. | No | 8.81K |
| BlindOrangutan | No | 4.64K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for December 21, 2025 If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-hei-bay-2025-12-21
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| BeastPlays | No | 1.52K |
