Analytics
Resolved No on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 38% on 4 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 4 May 2026 to 16 May 2026, the highest close was 38.5% on 6 May 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 12 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 32% on 7 May 2026. $156.88K traded over the market's life.
82 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 6:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 4 May 2026 – 16 May 2026, chart shows 20%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 May 2026 | 38.0% |
| 16 May 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Amber Kestrel 9099 | Yes | 8K |
| eanvanezygv | Yes | 4.73K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 2.15K |
| foooool | Yes | 1.78K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, May 16, 2026 between Eintracht Frankfurt and VfB Stuttgart.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-ein-stu-2026-05-16
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 955.49 |
| SergeyS | Yes | 515 |
| Violet Voyager 719A | Yes | 415.59 |
| notJaneStreet | Yes | 391.99 |
| jdove | Yes | 370.37 |
| gavros | Yes | 256.41 |
