Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.5%. Yes opened at 29% on 17 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 28 Feb 2026. $204.4K traded over the market's life.
61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 3, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 17 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | 29.0% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HedgeMaster88 | Yes | 93.78K |
| Cannae | Yes | 10.82K |
| c4c4 | Yes | 5.17K |
| PZmeta2 | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 1, 2026 between Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-ein-fre-2026-03-01
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| LangDD | Yes | 790 |
| er7udfijk549r0weuifds | Yes | 400 |
| Challenger- | Yes | 400 |
| Markusoe | Yes | 378.79 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 310.5 |
| Syd | Yes | 274.48 |
