Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72.5%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 17 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 27.5% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 27% on 20 Feb 2026. $25.86K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 3, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 17 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026, chart shows 22%–34%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | 27.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 27.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Romulodaldon | Yes | 3.52K |
| c4c4 | Yes | 2.17K |
| PZmeta2 | Yes | 1.03K |
| nikola17 | Yes | 700 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 1, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-ein-fre-2026-03-01
| Cannae | Yes | 584.48 |
| RudyLand | Yes | 500 |
| wenwin | Yes | 454.55 |
| Worthless-Credibility | Yes | 392.86 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 352.19 |
| gabrielzeras | Yes | 258.62 |
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