
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 43%. Yes opened at 58% on 22 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 58% on 22 Sep 2025 and the low 54.5% on 26 Sep 2025. $57.81K traded over the market's life.
143 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 22 Sep 2025 – 4 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 50%–62%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2025 | 58.0% |
| 4 Oct 2025 | 57.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| paralizedtrader | Yes | 1.68K |
| tsma | Yes | 847.84 |
| rimma111 | Yes | 677.97 |
| nzone | Yes | 476.04 |
| chenlongli58178 | Yes | 338.98 |
| Kbr | Yes | 300 |
| Retamz | Yes | 293.42 |
| FragMalDenRalle | Yes | 269.34 |
| buckhan0509 | Yes | 192.31 |
| Bigdaddyyy | Yes | 172.41 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming BUN game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30AM ET between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-dor-lei-2025-10-04
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