Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 33% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 33% on 16 Feb 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 23 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 23% on 17 Feb 2026. $347.04K traded over the market's life.
168 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 16 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 33.0% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 21.34K |
| DrPufferfish | Yes | 6.16K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 5.05K |
| Royal Oracle E850 | Yes | 3.47K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 28, 2026 If BV Borussia 09 Dortmund wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-dor-bay-2026-02-28
| Cannae | Yes | 2.51K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.93K |
| c4c4 | Yes | 1.1K |
| ChrisWinner | Yes | 1.03K |
| 0xchensheng | Yes | 952.38 |
| super-swiss-01 | Yes | 526.5 |
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