
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.5%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 9 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 13.5% on 10 Mar 2026 and the low 9.5% on 20 Mar 2026.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 7:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 9 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026, chart shows 6%–18%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Mar 2026 | 11.5% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 10.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 5.62K |
| ITmachine | Yes | 1.21K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 985.73 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 666.38 |
| Flawless-Olive | Yes | 500 |
| lopux | Yes | 350.74 |
| ewfer | Yes | 137 |
| asdssss | Yes | 135 |
| ichmarian1 | Yes | 132.73 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 117.65 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between FC Bayern München and 1. FC Union Berlin.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-bay-uni-2026-03-21
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