Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 78.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 15 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 79% on 17 Aug 2025 and the low 50% on 15 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 77% on 16 Aug 2025. $673.4K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 12:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 15 Aug 2025 – 22 Aug 2025, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2025 | 50.0% |
| 22 Aug 2025 | 78.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NowUp | No | 5.61K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | No | 3.05K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.57K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.65K |
| tradingl | No | 826.84 |
| Skankfest | No | 468.89 |
| JKBL | No | 454.55 |
| Lilpump | No | 454.55 |
| riccopong | No | 252 |
| liaozhibin16888 | No | 148.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming BUN game, scheduled for August 22 at 2:30PM ET, If Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Bayern München loses, this market will resolve to “No”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-bay-lei-2025-08-22
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