Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 23 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 23 Mar 2026 and the low 42% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026. $297.21 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 5, 3:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 23 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2026 | 51.0% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leafright | Yes | 212.21 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 11.16 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.58 |
| John.I.Tzimiskes | Yes | 3.84 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and VfL Wolfsburg, scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg match originally scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-b04-wol-2026-04-04-exact-score
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