Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 66.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 14 Feb 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 68.5% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 66.5% on 2 Feb 2026. $655.64K traded over the market's life.
107 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 16, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 14 Feb 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
| 14 Feb 2026 | 66.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shoumilaowang | No | 77.28K |
| Cannae | No | 14.07K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.33K |
| xfile | No | 11.54K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 14, 2026 If Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-b04-pau-2026-02-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| averageuser | No | 10.08K |
| illraise7 | No | 9.27K |
| rox119 | No | 7.04K |
| Roro77 | No | 6.86K |
| c4c4 | No | 5.01K |
| sportanal | No | 4.75K |
