Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 37.5%. Yes opened at 60% on 13 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 63% on 16 Sep 2025 and the low 60% on 13 Sep 2025. $551.94K traded over the market's life.
138 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 23, 12:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 13 Sep 2025 – 21 Sep 2025 · axis zoomed to 56%–68%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | 60.0% |
| 21 Sep 2025 | 62.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | Yes | 40K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.32K |
| Telepinu | Yes | 2.67K |
| Amarthus | Yes | 1.84K |
| FixCuanMagnet | Yes | 1.7K |
| ferd123 | Yes | 1.54K |
| Kretsche | Yes | 1.49K |
| Fat-Reversal | Yes | 697.09 |
| Fearless-Wrench | Yes | 512.82 |
| fischkopp | Yes | 379.43 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming BUN game, scheduled for September 21 at 11:30AM ET, If Bayer Leverkusen wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Bayer Leverkusen loses, this market will resolve to “No”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-b04-moe-2025-09-21
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