Analytics
Resolved Under on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Under at 51%. The Over side opened at 50.5% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49% on 17 Oct 2026. $6.87 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 11:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| botmy | Over | 5 |
| jifidsisjdidf | Over | 1.85 |
| batu05 | Over | 0.01 |
| Burkilota1 | Under | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and SC Freiburg, scheduled for October 18 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if SC Freiburg score 1 or more goals in the second half (second 45 minutes of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If SC Freiburg score less than 1 goals in the second half, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on SC Freiburg's second-half score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second 45 minutes of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-b04-fre-2026-10-18-more-markets
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