
Resolved No on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 56.5%. Yes opened at 44% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, the highest close was 45% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 42% on 9 Oct 2026. $62.52 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 11:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 38%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 44.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 43.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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In the upcoming Bundesliga game between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and SC Freiburg, scheduled for October 18 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Bayer 04 Leverkusen and SC Freiburg each score at least one goal during the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score in the second half (i.e., if one or both teams finish the second half with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-b04-fre-2026-10-18-more-markets
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