
Resolved No on 18 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.5%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 18 Apr 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20.5% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 18 Apr 2026. $58.83K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 19, 5:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 18 Apr 2026, chart shows 14%–24%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 20.5% |
| 18 Apr 2026 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 3.56K |
| Melodic-Con | Yes | 1.54K |
| PT-S1 | Yes | 1.21K |
| Anjun | Yes | 1.09K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026 between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Augsburg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-b04-aug-2026-04-18
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| eanvanezygv | Yes | 1.05K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.03K |
| na13683 | Yes | 393.15 |
| LynxTitan | Yes | 386.84 |
| PT-S2 | Yes | 353.36 |
| Keen Lynx 0B73 | Yes | 324.58 |