Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72.5%. Yes opened at 26% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 27.5% on 20 Mar 2026 and the low 26% on 10 Mar 2026.
58 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 11:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–32%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 26.0% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 27.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mortewfenloin | Yes | 40.38K |
| SunnyMan68 | Yes | 8.45K |
| Cannae | Yes | 3.55K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.32K |
| ignc | Yes | 3.27K |
| Fine-Procurement | Yes | 2.76K |
| mczippo | Yes | 1.9K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 1.07K |
| lopux | Yes | 702.26 |
| foooool | Yes | 600 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between FC Augsburg and VfB Stuttgart.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-aug-stu-2026-03-22
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