Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.5% on 23 Mar 2026 and the low 16.5% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 83 points up, to 99.5% on 23 Mar 2026.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 2:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 18 Mar 2026 – 23 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | 51.0% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Summit E2BF | No | 16.74 |
| triklozoid | No | 4.44 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Augsburg and VfB Stuttgart, scheduled for March 22, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anton Kade is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-aug-stu-2026-03-22-player-props
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