Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.5%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 29 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the price held at 28.5%. $358.03K traded over the market's life.
93 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 11, 9:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 29 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026, chart shows 22%–34%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2026 | 28.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 11.02K |
| Harbord | Yes | 6.94K |
| Cannae | Yes | 2.12K |
| sunofe | Yes | 2.07K |
| Keen Lynx 0B73 | Yes | 1.85K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.42K |
| Suburban-Wolf | Yes | 1.01K |
| Lordskyper | Yes | 970.03 |
| Swift Falcon 3F24 | Yes | 379.14 |
| vacherot69 | Yes | 330 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, April 10, 2026 between FC Augsburg and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-aug-hof-2026-04-10
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