Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

cryptoClosed

Scheduled close Oct 26, 2026 UTC

0.5%

Down

99.5%

Observed Up 0.5¢Observed Down 99.5¢

Lifetime volume

Scheduled close

Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Trading is closed with the Up side last at 0.5%; no result has been reported.

Across the 2 daily closes on record from 26 Oct 2026 to 26 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 26 Oct 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 26 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 11.5% on 26 Oct 2026.

$2 has traded since listing.

The largest Up position is PBot-6 with 1.3K shares; the largest Down position is Ivory Atlas 4057 with 2.8K. Ten wallets hold 30.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 1:50 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 26 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026

Up price, first and latest
Observed	Up price
26 Oct 2026	50.5%
26 Oct 2026	11.5%

Largest holders

The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Ivory Atlas 4057	Down	2.78K
lsz111	Down	2.57K
Golden Tide C45A	Down	2.49K
wbhk-trader1	Down	1.28K

10 of 891 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

What settles this market

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Sources named in these rules

data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/btc-updown-5m-1793022300

Dates

Event starts

Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Trading closed

Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Event starts

Analytics

Where it stands

Trading is closed with the Up side last at 0.5%; no result has been reported.

$2 has traded since listing.

The largest Up position is PBot-6 with 1.3K shares; the largest Down position is Ivory Atlas 4057 with 2.8K. Ten wallets hold 30.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 1:50 PM UTC

Up price, first and latest
Observed	Up price
26 Oct 2026	50.5%
26 Oct 2026	11.5%

Trader

Outcome

Ivory Atlas 4057

Down

2.78K

lsz111

Down

2.57K

Golden Tide C45A

Down

2.49K

wbhk-trader1

Down

1.28K