
Trading is closed with the Up side last at 0.5%; no result has been reported.
$2 has traded since listing.
The largest Up position is Possible-Speakerphone with 5K shares; the largest Down position is rookiefund2 with 197. Ten wallets hold 49.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 1:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Possible-Speakerphone | Up | 5K |
| lsz111 | Up | 1.98K |
| JJplayer | Up | 1.85K |
| Barometer12Extrovert9 | Up | 1.85K |
| oncngncd | Up | 1K |
| korkinmask | Up | 659.61 |
| hajimimanbolvdou | Up | 503 |
| Chubby-Broker | Up | 500 |
| tarasik.bumbasik | Up | 500 |
| arubaspider6 | Up | 412.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/btc-updown-5m-1793022000
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