Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Resolved

Down, settled Aug 26, 2026 UTC

0.0%

Down

100.0%

Final Up 0¢Final Down 100¢

Lifetime volume

$38.2K

Resolved

Down

Settled

Aug 26, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Down on 26 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Down at 100%. The Up side opened at 50% on 25 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 26 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 25 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 0.1% on 26 Aug 2026. $38.22K traded over the market's life.

30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 27, 12:05 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 26 Aug 2026

Up price, first and latest
Observed	Up price
25 Aug 2026	50.0%
26 Aug 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
boombioof	Up	2.19K
yulan6	Up	252
Quiet Raven E85F	Up	217.68
almostwar	Up	107.07

10 of 30 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.