
Resolved Up on 3 Aug 2026.
$75.92K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 4, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 3 Aug 2026, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Pulse 8804 | Down | 38K |
| Lunar Ledger 915F | Down | 10K |
| Coral Ledger E2DC | Down | 4K |
| Unwilling-Opportunity | Down | 1.65K |
| Predict90 | Down | 1.23K |
| Jade Quasar D3EB | Down | 1.07K |
| Jade Scout 4C80 | Down | 1K |
| omnibus-00c8ef | Down | 740.83 |
| PolymarBot1 | Down | 600 |
| Jooococo | Down | 210 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/btc-updown-4h-1785758400
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