Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Resolved

Up, settled Jul 18, 2026 UTC

100.0%

Down

0.0%

Final Up 100¢Final Down 0¢

Lifetime volume

$18.0K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 18, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Up on 18 Jul 2026.

$18.02K traded over the market's life.

27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 12:01 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 18 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–55%

Up price, first and latest
Observed	Up price
18 Jul 2026	50.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
stua	Down	238.67
Glittering-Cupcake	Down	153.06
TENETENET	Down	100
vedaresearch.btc	Down	100
kanaevad	Down	55
zpxfma	Down	50
Ivory Tide CBF9	Down	38.81
Violet Maven FBA8	Down	32.26
parado	Down	30
incrediblemachine	Down	21.56

10 of 27 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.