Analytics
Resolved Up on 11 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Up at 0%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2026 to 11 Jul 2026, the highest close was 100% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 50% on 10 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 100% on 11 Jul 2026. $26.09K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 11:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Jul 2026 – 11 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| stua | Down | 222.76 |
| Watery-Baby-Insulation | Down | 200 |
| sequence-merchant | Down | 150 |
| TENETENET | Down | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/btc-updown-4h-1783713600
| febtrader | Down | 38.01 |
| Coral Sphinx 748E | Down | 31.44 |
| Utilized-Fav | Down | 15 |
| triklozoid | Down | 15 |
| MrGreen56 | Down | 9.38 |
| REOK99 | Down | 8.62 |
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