Analytics
Resolved Down on 9 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Jun 2026 to 9 Jun 2026, the highest close was 50% on 8 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 0.1% on 9 Jun 2026. $33.87K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 10, 12:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Jun 2026 – 9 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 9 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pol49417 | Up | 15.35K |
| chess-man | Up | 572.32 |
| woshishui1987 | Up | 152.5 |
| suzuyamotoki | Up | 93.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/btc-updown-4h-1780948800
| super-swiss-01 | Up | 73.91 |
| triklozoid | Up | 50 |
| AugurCapital | Up | 50 |
| JellyMarkets | Up | 35 |
| Misty Harbor B4B4 | Up | 25.62 |
| Animated-Thongs | Up | 25 |
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