Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Resolved

Up, settled Jan 18, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$23.5K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 18, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Up on 18 Jan 2026.

$23.52K traded over the market's life.

27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 4:21 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 18 Jan 2026, chart shows 45%–55%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
18 Jan 2026	50.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
rockind	Down	4K
nioxx22	Down	3.96K
mbaghyu	Down	908
Magnificent-Still	Down	622.13
jijkoml	Down	604
S01T004651	Down	503.32
vah2qgbv	Down	230
TENETENET	Down	100
Bold Orbit 4679	Down	86.48
LFiercer10512	Down	53.95

10 of 27 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.