What is the “Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 43.5¢ and No at 56.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 43.5% for Yes and 56.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Sep 15, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($279.81) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($19.89K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 196 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 43.8% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 15, 12:47 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/btc-updown-15m-1789433100) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | Polymarket odds & analytics

Vultaxbeta

Delayed

Analytics

Predictions Analytics

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencebtc-updown-15m-1789433100Updated just now

Active

Closes Sep 15, 2026up-or-downcrypto-prices

Yes

43.5%

56.5%

Buy Yes 43.5¢Buy No 56.5¢

24h Volume

$280

Liquidity

$19.9K

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Yes price

43.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

43.5%

56.5%

24h volume

$279.81

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 43.5¢

Open in terminal$279.81 24h vol

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

3m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

1.0%

Observed

just now

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

43.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

196

Wallets

196

Top 10 share

44%

Yes / No shares

6.72K / 6.72K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Alabjack231	Up	1.69K	53.9%	$1.69K
sollypop	Down	1.15K	50.0%	$1.2K

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 43.5¢ and No at 56.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 43.5% for Yes and 56.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Sep 15, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($279.81) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($19.89K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Top holders by valueReturned holders ranked by current holding value. Profit and win rate are unavailable for this sample.

Trader	Current holding value
Alabjack231	$735.91
0x3664555C090fBEFHSVE94a7d216FCe860d746HD5	$418.78
Lively-Authenticity	$285.82
38791873984189	$263.95
wuhua2000001	$239.69
kadu	$217.49
almach	$200.59
mo-money	$198.52
bosona	$195.72
Frivolous-Insurance	$163.31
iR5oIctspWfiWhFKjZwl	$153.93
rdimath	$146.63